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Betting tips › Categoria Primera A ›  Alianza FC v Internacional de Bogotá

 Categoria Primera ASun 25 Oct 21:05 UTCArmando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza FC v Internacional de Bogotá tips

AFCAlianza FCWLWWL
VS
BOGInternacional de BogotáDLLWD
The model callAlianza FCMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Alianza FC hold home advantage at Armando Maestre Pavajeau and look solid enough to edge past their visitors. The price of 235 gives us a fair run for our money given recent form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Alianza FC return to their home ground after putting together three wins from their last five matches in the league.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 235 for a home win which reflects a solid chance for the hosts.
  • Internacional de Bogota travel here having suffered two defeats in their most recent five fixtures.
Why it might not
  • Alianza FC did lose two of their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable on a bad day.
  • Internacional de Bogota picked up draws in two of their last five outings and might frustrate the hosts.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have enough mixed results in their recent runs to suggest goals could come from either end.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent scoring power in recent matches to back a high scoring game.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Alianza FC the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Alianza FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Alianza FC hold home advantage at Armando Maestre Pavajeau and look solid enough to edge past their visitors. The price of 235 gives us a fair run for our money given recent form.

Form and momentum

Alianza FC come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Internacional de Bogotá come in poor, winning 11% of 9 on record. 0 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for AFC, 30% for the draw and 31% for BOG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Alianza FC did lose two of their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable on a bad day.
  • Internacional de Bogota picked up draws in two of their last five outings and might frustrate the hosts.
The bottom line

We back Alianza FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAFC +135
AFC2.35draw3.05BOG2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AFCAlianza FC8 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in15
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL
BOGInternacional de Bogotá9 games on record
Won1
Drawn6
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in13
  • On the road0 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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