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Betting tips › Liga 1 ›  Alianza Atlético v Universitario

 Liga 1Sun 18 Oct 20:30 UTCEstadio Manische

Alianza Atlético v Universitario tips

AATAlianza AtléticoWLWWW
VS
UNIUniversitarioLWDWW
The model callUniversitarioMatch result2.40★★★★2 stars

Universitario comes in with strong recent form and a solid price to take all three points on the road. Alianza Atlético is at home at Estadio Manische but faces a very tough test.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$48
Profit$28
Why it might land
  • Universitario arrives with four wins and a draw from their last five matches, showing serious momentum.
  • The bookmakers offer a very fair price of 2.40 for Universitario to win this away fixture.
  • Alianza Atlético recently lost one of their last five matches which shows they can be beaten.
Why it might not
  • Alianza Atlético has won four out of their last five matches and plays this game on their home turf.
  • Universitario suffered a defeat in their most recent outing which introduces some doubt into their current form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Alianza Atlético and Universitario both know how to find the net based on their winning runs.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have been winning matches recently and should create enough chances to push past two goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Universitario the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Universitario, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Universitario comes in with strong recent form and a solid price to take all three points on the road. Alianza Atlético is at home at Estadio Manische but faces a very tough test.

Form and momentum

Alianza Atlético come in strong, winning 80% of 5 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Universitario come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for AAT, 31% for the draw and 38% for UNI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Alianza Atlético has won four out of their last five matches and plays this game on their home turf.
  • Universitario suffered a defeat in their most recent outing which introduces some doubt into their current form.
The bottom line

We back Universitario for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsUNI +140
AAT2.85draw2.95UNI2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AATAlianza Atlético5 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in8
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWW
UNIUniversitario5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in9
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Universitario at Alianza Atletico?

The site model likes Universitario at 2.40 because of their strong recent form on the road. Alianza Atletico has won four of their last five matches and is very tough at home though. What are you lads...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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