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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Cruz Azul Hidalgo

 Liga de ExpansionFri 23 Oct 01:00 UTCEstadio Tecnólogico de Oaxaca

Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Cruz Azul Hidalgo tips

OAXAlebrijes de OaxacaLLWLD
VS
CAHCruz Azul HidalgoLLDLW
The model callAlebrijes de OaxacaMatch result2.00★★★★1 star

Alebrijes de Oaxaca play at home against Cruz Azul Hidalgo with a price of 2.00 to win. Both sides carry poor runs into this match making it a tricky game to call.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$20
Profit$10
Why it might land
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca are playing at home at the Estadio Tecnologico de Oaxaca where they look to improve after taking only one draw and one win in their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers price Alebrijes de Oaxaca at 2.00 to win which gives them a fair chance against visiting opponents who struggle for consistency on the road.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo arrive with a poor run of form showing three losses in their last five outings which offers hope for the home side.
Why it might not
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca come into this fixture on a poor run of form that includes three defeats in their last five matches.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo managed to win one of their recent matches and could easily spring a surprise despite their overall poor run.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams show shaky defensive form in their recent results which suggests we might see goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing for the goals line so any total is purely a speculative guess without enough market data to back it up.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Alebrijes de Oaxaca the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Alebrijes de Oaxaca, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Alebrijes de Oaxaca play at home against Cruz Azul Hidalgo with a price of 2.00 to win. Both sides carry poor runs into this match making it a tricky game to call.

Form and momentum

Alebrijes de Oaxaca come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for OAX, 26% for the draw and 29% for CAH once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Alebrijes de Oaxaca, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca come into this fixture on a poor run of form that includes three defeats in their last five matches.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo managed to win one of their recent matches and could easily spring a surprise despite their overall poor run.
The bottom line

We back Alebrijes de Oaxaca for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsOAX +100
OAX2.00draw3.50CAH3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

OAXAlebrijes de Oaxaca6 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored5and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLD
CAHCruz Azul Hidalgo6 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in12
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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