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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Aldosivi v Atlético Tucumán

 Liga ProfesionalMon 21 Sept 17:30 UTCJosé María MinellaFinished

Aldosivi v Atlético Tucumán tips

ALDOAldosiviLWLLD
1 : 0
CATAtlético TucumánLWDDW
The model callOver 1.5Total goals1.54★★★★2 starsLost

We expect goals to flow at the Estadio Jose Maria Minella based on recent form. The price on over 1.5 goals looks solid.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$30.8
Profit$10.8
Why it might land
  • Aldosivi comes into this fixture searching for defensive stability after taking three losses from their last five matches.
  • Atletico Tucuman shows a mixed run of form that includes two wins and two draws in their most recent five outings.
  • The total goals line sits at 1.5 with the over priced at 1.54 which reflects expectations for an open game.
Why it might not
  • Aldosivi managed a recent draw which proves they can sometimes keep things tight when playing at home.
  • Atletico Tucuman suffered a recent loss which shows their away form cannot be fully trusted right now.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both teams should find the back of the net given the shaky defensive records on display.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Atlético Tucumán the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals to flow at the Estadio Jose Maria Minella based on recent form. The price on over 1.5 goals looks solid.

Form and momentum

Aldosivi come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Atlético Tucumán come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for ALDO, 32% for the draw and 38% for CAT once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.54, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Aldosivi managed a recent draw which proves they can sometimes keep things tight when playing at home.
  • Atletico Tucuman suffered a recent loss which shows their away form cannot be fully trusted right now.
The bottom line

We back Over 1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAT +145
ALDO3.10draw2.90CAT2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ALDOAldosivi5 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in10
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLD
CATAtlético Tucumán6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in5
  • On the road2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman. Goals or a draw?

The site model says expect goals to flow at the Estadio Jose Maria Minella and over 1.5 goals looks a solid price. The worry is that Aldosivi managed a recent draw which proves they can sometimes keep...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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