Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Alavés v Valencia

 LaLigaTue 15 Sept 18:00 UTCMendizorrotzaFinished

Alavés v Valencia tips

ALAAlavésLWWDW
0 : 1
VALValenciaLLLLD
The model callAlavésMatch result2.25★★★★2 starsLost

Alaves start this match as favorites at home. Their recent form suggests they can beat struggling Valencia.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Alaves have won three of their last five matches in good league form
  • Valencia travel poorly after losing three of their last five fixtures
  • The bookmakers price the home side at a solid two point two five
Why it might not
  • Alaves lost their most recent match and need to bounce back quickly now
  • Valencia managed a win recently and might build some momentum away from home
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookWon

Valencia struggle to score regularly on their travels lately.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.61Won

Both teams often play tight matches without many goals scored.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Alavés the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Alavés, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Alaves start this match as favorites at home. Their recent form suggests they can beat struggling Valencia.

Form and momentum

Alavés come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Valencia come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for ALA, 29% for the draw and 20% for VAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Alavés, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings VAL have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.

Where it could go wrong
  • Alaves lost their most recent match and need to bounce back quickly now
  • Valencia managed a win recently and might build some momentum away from home
The bottom line

We back Alavés for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsALA -115
ALA1.87draw3.30VAL4.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ALAAlavés40 games on record
Won13
Drawn10
Lost17
  • Scored52and let in58
  • At home9 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDW
VALValencia40 games on record
Won12
Drawn10
Lost18
  • Scored43and let in63
  • On the road5 winsfrom20
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

0ALA wins
1drawn
1VAL wins
  • Valencia 3 : 2 Alavés8 Mar 2026 · LaLiga
  • Alavés 0 : 0 Valencia20 Oct 2025 · LaLiga

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Alaves v Valencia home win?

The site model makes Alaves favorites at home against struggling Valencia based on recent form. The catch is that Alaves lost their last match and need a quick bounce back. What are you all on for thi...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW