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Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Alavés v Osasuna

 LaLigaSun 6 Sept 16:30 UTCMendizorrotzaFinished

Alavés v Osasuna tips

ALAAlavésWDWLW
5 : 2
OSAOsasunaWWDLL
The model callDrawMatch result3.15★★★★1 starLost

Expect a tight derby at Mendizorrotza with little to separate the sides. Neither team has any recent match form to rely on yet.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$31.5
Profit$21.5
Why it might land
  • Both teams enter this early fixture without any recent form recorded.
  • Mendizorrotza often produces tight matches between these two familiar rivals.
  • The price of 3.15 offers reasonable value for a stalemate.
Why it might not
  • Alavés have home advantage which could swing the match their way.
  • Osasuna at 3.45 could tempt punters looking for an away win.
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Alavés the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Expect a tight derby at Mendizorrotza with little to separate the sides. Neither team has any recent match form to rely on yet.

Form and momentum

Alavés come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 8 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Osasuna come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 3 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for ALA, 30% for the draw and 28% for OSA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Alavés, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings OSA have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.

Where it could go wrong
  • Alavés have home advantage which could swing the match their way.
  • Osasuna at 3.45 could tempt punters looking for an away win.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsALA +130
ALA2.30draw3.15OSA3.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ALAAlavés40 games on record
Won12
Drawn11
Lost17
  • Scored47and let in56
  • At home8 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLW
OSAOsasuna40 games on record
Won13
Drawn10
Lost17
  • Scored47and let in50
  • On the road3 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

0ALA wins
1drawn
1OSA wins
  • Alavés 2 : 2 Osasuna5 Apr 2026 · LaLiga
  • Osasuna 3 : 0 Alavés20 Dec 2025 · LaLiga

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Alaves v Osasuna draw?

Expect a tight derby at Mendizorrotza with little to separate the sides and no recent form to rely on. The site model says the draw is the call for this one. Alaves have home advantage which could swi...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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