Betting tips › LaLiga › Alavés v Atlético Madrid
LaLigaSat 10 Oct 14:15 UTCMendizorrotza
AlavésDLLWW
Atlético MadridWWWLLAtletico Madrid should take all three points at Mendizorrotza despite a mixed recent run. Alaves sit at three point seven five to win which offers value against recent losses.
Both sides have mixed defensive records across their last five matches which suggests we could see goals at both ends.
The over line is set at one point eight zero and both teams have shown enough recent form to push past two point five goals.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Atlético Madrid the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Atlético Madrid, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Atletico Madrid should take all three points at Mendizorrotza despite a mixed recent run. Alaves sit at three point seven five to win which offers value against recent losses.
Alavés come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Atlético Madrid come in solid, winning 50% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.
The prices turn into 25% for ALA, 26% for the draw and 49% for ATM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Atlético Madrid, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings ATM have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
We back Atlético Madrid for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Alavés40 games on recordAtlético Madrid40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model goes for Atletico Madrid at one point nine one to take the points at Mendizorrotza. The doubt is that Atletico lost two of their last five matches which makes away form look shaky. Alav...