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Betting tips › Saudi Pro League ›  Al Qadsiah v Al Ahli

 Saudi Pro LeagueTue 8 Sept 18:00 UTCPrince Mohammed Bin Fahd StadiumFinished

Al Qadsiah v Al Ahli tips

QADAl QadsiahWWWL
3 : 2
AHLAl AhliWLLW
The model callAl QadsiahMatch result1.95★★★★2 starsWon

Al Qadsiah look strong after winning three of their last four matches. They should have enough to beat an inconsistent Al Ahli side.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Al Qadsiah have won three matches in a row recently
  • Al Ahli have already lost twice in their last four games
  • Home advantage at Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium will help them
Why it might not
  • Al Ahli won their last match and could find some rhythm
  • Al Qadsiah did lose one of their last four league fixtures
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Al Qadsiah won three of their recent four games with solid defensive displays.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice 1.57Lost

Al Ahli has lost two of their last four matches and goals might be hard to find at this price.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Al Qadsiah the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Al Qadsiah, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Al Qadsiah look strong after winning three of their last four matches. They should have enough to beat an inconsistent Al Ahli side.

Form and momentum

Al Qadsiah come in strong, winning 75% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

Al Ahli come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for QAD, 25% for the draw and 29% for AHL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Al Qadsiah, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Al Ahli won their last match and could find some rhythm
  • Al Qadsiah did lose one of their last four league fixtures
The bottom line

We back Al Qadsiah for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsQAD +105
QAD2.05draw3.75AHL3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

QADAl Qadsiah4 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in2
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWL
AHLAl Ahli4 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored10and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Are you backing Al Qadsiah at 2.00 against Al Ahli?

The site model is backing Al Qadsiah at 2.00 since they have won three of their last four matches. They should have enough quality to beat an inconsistent Al Ahli side. However, Al Ahli won their last...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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