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Betting tips › Saudi Pro League ›  Al Kholood v Al Shabab

 Saudi Pro LeagueWed 9 Sept 15:55 UTCAl-Hazm Club StadiumFinished

Al Kholood v Al Shabab tips

KHOAl KholoodDWDW
2 : 1
SHAAl ShababLDDD
The model callAl KholoodMatch result2.95★★★★1 starWon

Al Kholood can nick this at home because Al Shabab cannot buy a win lately. The away side keeps drawing while the hosts have picked up some decent results.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$29.5
Profit$19.5
Why it might land
  • Al Kholood are picking up wins and draws in recent matches.
  • Al Shabab failed to win their last four matches in a row.
  • The home price offers decent value given current form trends here.
Why it might not
  • Al Shabab are still favourites with the bookmakers despite poor form.
  • Al Kholood remain inconsistent over longer stretches of the league season.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both sides have been sharing goals in their latest outings so expect goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69Won

Al Kholood keep scoring in recent matches and Al Shabab need a win to turn their form around.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Al Shabab the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Al Kholood, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Al Kholood can nick this at home because Al Shabab cannot buy a win lately. The away side keeps drawing while the hosts have picked up some decent results.

Form and momentum

Al Kholood come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Al Shabab come in poor, winning 0% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for KHO, 26% for the draw and 40% for SHA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Al Shabab are still favourites with the bookmakers despite poor form.
  • Al Kholood remain inconsistent over longer stretches of the league season.
The bottom line

We back Al Kholood for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSHA +135
KHO2.80draw3.60SHA2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

KHOAl Kholood4 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost0
  • Scored9and let in6
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDW
SHAAl Shabab4 games on record
Won0
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored4and let in6
  • On the roadno winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Al Kholood vs Al Shabab value?

The site model has Al Kholood to nick this at home because Al Shabab cannot buy a win lately and keep drawing. The bookmakers still have Al Shabab as favourites though despite that poor form. What are...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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