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Betting tips › Saudi Pro League ›  Al Ittihad v Al Shabab

 Saudi Pro LeagueFri 16 Oct 18:00 UTCPrince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium

Al Ittihad v Al Shabab tips

ITTAl IttihadWWWDW
VS
SHAAl ShababDLLDD
The model callAl IttihadMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Al Ittihad are in great form and should win here. Al Shabab are struggling badly.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Al Ittihad come into this match with four wins and one draw from their last five outings.
  • Al Shabab have failed to win any of their last five matches with three draws and two losses.
  • The home side are priced at 1.87 to win which offers decent value given the current form.
Why it might not
  • Al Shabab managed to secure a draw in their most recent fixture despite their poor overall run.
  • Derby matches in this league can often throw up unpredictable results regardless of league position.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Al Shabab are struggling for goals right now and might not break through the home defence.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent high scoring form recently to push past the three goal mark.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Al Ittihad the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Al Ittihad, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Al Ittihad are in great form and should win here. Al Shabab are struggling badly.

Form and momentum

Al Ittihad come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

Al Shabab come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for ITT, 23% for the draw and 26% for SHA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Al Ittihad, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Al Shabab managed to secure a draw in their most recent fixture despite their poor overall run.
  • Derby matches in this league can often throw up unpredictable results regardless of league position.
The bottom line

We back Al Ittihad for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsITT -115
ITT1.87draw4.10SHA3.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ITTAl Ittihad6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored11and let in5
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWDW
SHAAl Shabab6 games on record
Won0
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in8
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Al Ittihad v Al Shabab. Any thoughts?

The site model goes for Al Ittihad at 1.87 because they are in great form while Al Shabab are struggling badly. Still, Al Shabab did manage a draw in their most recent fixture. What are you lot on for...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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