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Betting tips › Eredivisie ›  Ajax Amsterdam v AZ Alkmaar

 EredivisieSat 31 Oct 20:00 UTCJohan Cruijff Arena

Ajax Amsterdam v AZ Alkmaar tips

AJAAjax AmsterdamDWWLW
VS
AZAZ AlkmaarWLDWW
The model callAjax AmsterdamMatch result1.77★★★★2 stars

Ajax play at home and hold a solid price of 1.77 to beat AZ Alkmaar. Their recent league form includes three wins from their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$35.4
Profit$15.4
Why it might land
  • Ajax enter this fixture at the Johan Cruijff Arena priced at 1.77 to secure all three points against visiting opponents.
  • The home side put together a decent run of form recently by taking three wins and a draw from their past five matches.
  • AZ Alkmaar arrive with mixed away momentum despite managing three wins and a draw in their own recent five fixture stretch.
Why it might not
  • Ajax dropped points in their recent sequence after taking a defeat which shows they are not entirely immune to slip ups.
  • AZ Alkmaar managed to win three of their last five matches and could easily pose a stubborn threat in Amsterdam.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

The recent results for both clubs suggest they will each find the net during ninety minutes.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides carry decent recent scoring form into this clash which points towards a busy match on the goal front.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Ajax Amsterdam the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Ajax Amsterdam, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ajax play at home and hold a solid price of 1.77 to beat AZ Alkmaar. Their recent league form includes three wins from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Ajax Amsterdam come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

AZ Alkmaar come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for AJA, 22% for the draw and 25% for AZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Ajax Amsterdam, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings AZ have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.

Where it could go wrong
  • Ajax dropped points in their recent sequence after taking a defeat which shows they are not entirely immune to slip ups.
  • AZ Alkmaar managed to win three of their last five matches and could easily pose a stubborn threat in Amsterdam.
The bottom line

We back Ajax Amsterdam for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAJA -130
AJA1.77draw4.20AZ3.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AJAAjax Amsterdam40 games on record
Won17
Drawn13
Lost10
  • Scored77and let in54
  • At home7 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLW
AZAZ Alkmaar40 games on record
Won19
Drawn10
Lost11
  • Scored70and let in55
  • On the road9 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

0AJA wins
1drawn
1AZ wins
  • AZ Alkmaar 1 : 1 Ajax Amsterdam8 Feb 2026 · Eredivisie
  • Ajax Amsterdam 0 : 2 AZ Alkmaar18 Oct 2025 · Eredivisie

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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