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Betting tips › Conference League ›  Ajax Amsterdam v Atalanta

 Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct 19:00 UTCJohan Cruijff Arena

Ajax Amsterdam v Atalanta tips

AJAAjax AmsterdamDWWLW
VS
ATAAtalantaLLLWW
The model callAjax AmsterdamMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Ajax look the steadier side at home and the price offers fair value given recent form. Atalanta arrive with too many recent losses on their record.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Ajax bring a solid run of form into this match after picking up three wins and a draw from their last five outings.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 2.15 for Ajax to win this fixture at the Johan Cruijff Arena on Thursday evening.
  • Atalanta have struggled badly on the road recently, suffering three consecutive defeats before managing two back to back wins.
Why it might not
  • Atalanta showed some recovery by winning their most recent two matches which makes them dangerous opponents in Europe.
  • Ajax did suffer one defeat in their last five games to show they can be beaten when visitors put pressure on them.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed defensive form in their recent results which suggests goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has a price listed for the goals line so it is hard to trust an over pick.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Ajax Amsterdam the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Ajax Amsterdam, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ajax look the steadier side at home and the price offers fair value given recent form. Atalanta arrive with too many recent losses on their record.

Form and momentum

Ajax Amsterdam come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Atalanta come in solid, winning 45% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for AJA, 25% for the draw and 30% for ATA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Ajax Amsterdam, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Atalanta showed some recovery by winning their most recent two matches which makes them dangerous opponents in Europe.
  • Ajax did suffer one defeat in their last five games to show they can be beaten when visitors put pressure on them.
The bottom line

We back Ajax Amsterdam for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAJA +115
AJA2.15draw3.75ATA3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AJAAjax Amsterdam40 games on record
Won17
Drawn13
Lost10
  • Scored77and let in54
  • At home7 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLW
ATAAtalanta40 games on record
Won18
Drawn7
Lost15
  • Scored56and let in50
  • On the road6 winsfrom20
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Ajax or Atalanta in the Conference League?

Ajax look the steadier side at home and the price offers fair value given recent form, while Atalanta arrive with too many recent losses on their record. On the other hand, Atalanta showed some recove...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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