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Betting tips › Ligue 1 ›  AJ Auxerre v Le Mans

 Ligue 1Sun 25 Oct 16:15 UTCStade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

AJ Auxerre v Le Mans tips

AUXAJ AuxerreWWLLL
VS
MNSLe MansWDDLD
The model callAJ AuxerreMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Auxerre have enough recent wins to justify backing them at home against Le Mans. The visitors struggle to turn their draws into victories on the road.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • AJ Auxerre come into this fixture having picked up two wins from their last five matches in the league.
  • The price of 2.15 on AJ Auxerre to win at home offers decent value for a team holding standard home advantage.
  • Le Mans have managed just one win in their last five outings and will struggle to contain the hosts at Stade de lAbbe Deschamps.
Why it might not
  • AJ Auxerre arrive following three consecutive defeats which creates a genuine worry about their defensive stability.
  • Le Mans have picked up draws in three of their last five matches making them a stubborn side to beat.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough scoring capability in recent weeks to find the net here.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has prices listed for the goals line so staying cautious is wise.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes AJ Auxerre the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on AJ Auxerre, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Auxerre have enough recent wins to justify backing them at home against Le Mans. The visitors struggle to turn their draws into victories on the road.

Form and momentum

AJ Auxerre come in poor, winning 26% of 39 on record. 8 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Le Mans come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 45% for AUX, 26% for the draw and 29% for MNS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward AJ Auxerre, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • AJ Auxerre arrive following three consecutive defeats which creates a genuine worry about their defensive stability.
  • Le Mans have picked up draws in three of their last five matches making them a stubborn side to beat.
The bottom line

We back AJ Auxerre for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
AUX2.05draw3.40MNS3.70
SourceDraftKingsAUX +115
AUX2.15draw3.65MNS3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AUXAJ Auxerre39 games on record
Won10
Drawn10
Lost19
  • Scored41and let in56
  • At home8 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLL
MNSLe Mans5 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored9and let in9
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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