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Betting tips › Allsvenskan ›  AIK v Mjällby AIF

 AllsvenskanWed 16 Sept 17:00 UTCFriends ArenaFinished

AIK v Mjällby AIF tips

AIKAIKLDWWW
1 : 1
MJAMjällby AIFDLLLW
The model callAIKMatch result2.15★★★★2 starsLost

AIK bring strong home form into this match at Friends Arena. Mjallby struggle badly for consistency after losing three of their last five fixtures.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • AIK enter this fixture at Friends Arena having won three of their last five matches across the league campaign.
  • Mjallby arrive in poor momentum after picking up three losses in their last five outings in the Allsvenskan.
  • Bookmakers offer a price of 2.15 for AIK to win which gives us solid value on the home side.
Why it might not
  • AIK dropped points recently in a draw which shows they can still stumble against stubborn opponents.
  • Mjallby managed a win in their most recent fixture so they could carry some unexpected momentum here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams should manage to find the net based on their recent defensive vulnerabilities in the league.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.67Lost

The price of 1.67 for over 2.5 goals suggests we will see at least three goals scored in this fixture.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes AIK the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on AIK, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. AIK bring strong home form into this match at Friends Arena. Mjallby struggle badly for consistency after losing three of their last five fixtures.

Form and momentum

AIK come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Mjällby AIF come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for AIK, 27% for the draw and 30% for MJA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward AIK, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • AIK dropped points recently in a draw which shows they can still stumble against stubborn opponents.
  • Mjallby managed a win in their most recent fixture so they could carry some unexpected momentum here.
The bottom line

We back AIK for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAIK +115
AIK2.15draw3.50MJA3.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AIKAIK5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in10
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWW
MJAMjällby AIF6 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in15
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

AIK or Mjallby today?

The site model fancies AIK at two point fifteen because of their strong home form at Friends Arena and Mjallby losing three of their last five. AIK did drop points in a recent draw though which proves...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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