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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Agropecuario v Colegiales

 Primera NacionalSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig

Agropecuario v Colegiales tips

AGRAgropecuarioLWLWD
VS
COLColegialesWLWLW
The model callAgropecuarioMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Agropecuario play at home and hold a fair price of 2.15 to take the points. Their mixed recent run still gives them enough momentum to edge past Colegiales.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Agropecuario play on home turf at the Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig where they look to build on their recent win and draw from their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a very backable price of 2.15 for Agropecuario to win this match outright against a visiting side with inconsistent away form.
  • Colegiales come into this fixture having lost two of their last five matches which leaves them vulnerable on the road in this division.
Why it might not
  • Agropecuario suffered two defeats in their last five outings which shows they are far from bulletproof at this level of competition.
  • Colegiales arrive after securing three wins in their last five matches so they clearly possess the winning habit when things click.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded wins and losses with several blanks recently which points toward at least one clean sheet.

Total goalsUnder 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a consistent habit of blowing teams away in recent weeks so a low scoring affair is quite possible.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Agropecuario the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Agropecuario, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Agropecuario play at home and hold a fair price of 2.15 to take the points. Their mixed recent run still gives them enough momentum to edge past Colegiales.

Form and momentum

Agropecuario come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Colegiales come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for AGR, 31% for the draw and 27% for COL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Agropecuario, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Agropecuario suffered two defeats in their last five outings which shows they are far from bulletproof at this level of competition.
  • Colegiales arrive after securing three wins in their last five matches so they clearly possess the winning habit when things click.
The bottom line

We back Agropecuario for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAGR +115
AGR2.15draw2.95COL3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

AGRAgropecuario6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored4and let in7
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWD
COLColegiales7 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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