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Betting tips › League One ›  AFC Wimbledon v Milton Keynes Dons

 League OneThu 17 Sept 19:00 UTCThe Cherry Red Records StadiumFinished

AFC Wimbledon v Milton Keynes Dons tips

WIMAFC WimbledonWWLWL
0 : 0
MKDMilton Keynes DonsDDLDD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.80★★★★2 starsLost

Milton Keynes Dons keep drawing matches while AFC Wimbledon mix wins with losses. The over price at one point eight zero looks solid.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • The total goals line sits at two point five with the over priced at one point eight zero for this fixture.
  • Milton Keynes Dons come into this match after a long run of draws that point towards plenty of attacking urgency.
  • AFC Wimbledon have won three of their last five matches which shows they can push the pace and find the net.
Why it might not
  • Milton Keynes Dons have failed to win any of their last five matches and might struggle to contribute enough goals.
  • AFC Wimbledon lost two of their last five outings which proves they can have quiet matches where chances are rare.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

AFC Wimbledon score regularly in their recent games and Milton Keynes Dons keep playing out scoring draws.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Milton Keynes Dons the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Milton Keynes Dons keep drawing matches while AFC Wimbledon mix wins with losses. The over price at one point eight zero looks solid.

Form and momentum

AFC Wimbledon come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Milton Keynes Dons come in poor, winning 0% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for WIM, 27% for the draw and 39% for MKD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Milton Keynes Dons have failed to win any of their last five matches and might struggle to contribute enough goals.
  • AFC Wimbledon lost two of their last five outings which proves they can have quiet matches where chances are rare.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMKD +140
WIM2.80draw3.45MKD2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

WIMAFC Wimbledon40 games on record
Won12
Drawn9
Lost19
  • Scored42and let in62
  • At home7 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLWL
MKDMilton Keynes Dons6 games on record
Won0
Drawn5
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in10
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Wimbledon vs MK Dons. Where is the value?

The site model calls the draw here because MK Dons keep sharing the points while Wimbledon mix wins and losses. The over price at 1.80 also looks solid on paper. The big doubt is that MK Dons have fai...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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