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Betting tips › National League ›  AFC Hornchurch v Yeovil Town

 National LeagueTue 27 Oct 19:45 UTCHornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch v Yeovil Town tips

HORAFC HornchurchLWLLL
VS
YEOYeovil TownWWDLL
The model callYeovil TownMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

Yeovil Town arrive with stronger recent momentum despite a couple of defeats and should edge this contest at Hornchurch Stadium. The visitors are priced at 2.25 to take the points which looks fair given the home side struggles.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Yeovil Town managed to secure two wins and a draw from their last five matches which is a far better run than their opponents.
  • The away side comes into this fixture with a price of 2.25 to win which offers decent value based on current league form.
  • AFC Hornchurch have suffered four defeats in their last five outings showing clear vulnerability across recent weeks.
Why it might not
  • Yeovil Town dropped their last two matches in a row which proves they can be fragile on the road.
  • AFC Hornchurch did manage to win one of their recent fixtures so they are capable of springing a surprise.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams are leaking defeats which points towards defensive frailties on both sides.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a solid defensive record lately so goals could happen.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Yeovil Town the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Yeovil Town, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Yeovil Town arrive with stronger recent momentum despite a couple of defeats and should edge this contest at Hornchurch Stadium. The visitors are priced at 2.25 to take the points which looks fair given the home side struggles.

Form and momentum

AFC Hornchurch come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Yeovil Town come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 2 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for HOR, 27% for the draw and 40% for YEO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Yeovil Town dropped their last two matches in a row which proves they can be fragile on the road.
  • AFC Hornchurch did manage to win one of their recent fixtures so they are capable of springing a surprise.
The bottom line

We back Yeovil Town for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsYEO +125
HOR2.75draw3.40YEO2.25

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

HORAFC Hornchurch10 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored11and let in15
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
YEOYeovil Town10 games on record
Won5
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored19and let in14
  • On the road2 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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