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Betting tips › National League ›  AFC Hornchurch v Aldershot Town

 National LeagueTue 29 Sept 18:45 UTCHornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch v Aldershot Town tips

HORAFC HornchurchLWLLL
VS
ALDAldershot TownWLDWW
The model callAldershot TownMatch result3.00★★★★2 stars

Aldershot arrive in much better shape than their hosts and the price of three.zero zero looks generous. Hornchurch keep losing matches and need a sharp upturn to stop this slide.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$60
Profit$40
Why it might land
  • Aldershot Town enter this fixture after recording three wins from their last five matches in a very solid run of form.
  • AFC Hornchurch have struggled badly in recent weeks and currently carry a poor run of four defeats from their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer Aldershot Town at an appealing price of three point zero zero given the contrast in recent results between the two sides.
Why it might not
  • Aldershot Town have to travel away from home to Hornchurch Stadium which can always level the playing field in this division.
  • The away side did suffer a recent defeat within their last five matches showing they are still capable of an off day.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides will fancy their chances of finding the back of the net based on their respective league standings and recent defensive showings.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.65

The price of one point six five for over two point five goals suggests we can expect an open match with plenty of attacking moments.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes AFC Hornchurch the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Aldershot Town, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Aldershot arrive in much better shape than their hosts and the price of three.zero zero looks generous. Hornchurch keep losing matches and need a sharp upturn to stop this slide.

Form and momentum

AFC Hornchurch come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Aldershot Town come in solid, winning 50% of 10 on record. 2 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for HOR, 25% for the draw and 30% for ALD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward AFC Hornchurch, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Aldershot Town have to travel away from home to Hornchurch Stadium which can always level the playing field in this division.
  • The away side did suffer a recent defeat within their last five matches showing they are still capable of an off day.
The bottom line

We back Aldershot Town for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsHOR +105
HOR2.05draw3.60ALD3.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

HORAFC Hornchurch10 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored11and let in15
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
ALDAldershot Town10 games on record
Won5
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored15and let in8
  • On the road2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Aldershot at Hornchurch odds value or trap?

The site model fancies Aldershot Town at three point zero zero because they are in better shape and the hosts keep losing. Hornchurch are at home though and that can always level things out in this le...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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