Betting tips › Premier League › AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland
Premier LeagueSun 18 Oct 13:00 UTCVitality Stadium
AFC BournemouthLWDWD
SunderlandLWLWDBoth sides show mixed runs of form coming into this fixture at Vitality Stadium. The odds suggest goals could flow freely at 1.77 for the over.
Both teams have traded wins and draws recently which points to defensive leaks on both sides.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes AFC Bournemouth the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Both sides show mixed runs of form coming into this fixture at Vitality Stadium. The odds suggest goals could flow freely at 1.77 for the over.
AFC Bournemouth come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Sunderland come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The prices turn into 48% for BOU, 27% for the draw and 26% for SUN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward AFC Bournemouth, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.77, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Across 2 past meetings SUN have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
AFC Bournemouth40 games on recordSunderland40 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.
The site model calls this a draw because both teams show mixed form at the Vitality Stadium and the over is priced at 1.77. The doubt is that Bournemouth drew two of their last five games which points...