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Betting tips › Liga 1 ›  ADT v Sporting Cristal

 Liga 1Sat 7 Nov 18:00 UTCEstadio Unión Tarma

ADT v Sporting Cristal tips

ADTADTWLLLL
VS
SCRSporting CristalWWWLL
The model callADTMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

ADT have home advantage at Estadio Union Tarma and face a Sporting Cristal side that has dropped their last two matches. The price of 2.25 offers a fair angle on the hosts getting back to winning ways.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • ADT are playing at their home ground of Estadio Union Tarma where conditions always make it very tough for visiting teams to settle down quickly.
  • Sporting Cristal come into this fixture having lost their most recent two matches in a worrying downward slide of recent form.
  • The 2.25 price on offer for an ADT victory provides enough value to back the hosts against a struggling opponent.
Why it might not
  • ADT recently suffered four defeats in a row before their latest win which shows they are prone to long spells of poor form.
  • Sporting Cristal won three matches in a row just before their current slump and still carry the quality to bounce right back.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show enough volatility in recent matches to suggest each team could find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing on the line for goals so it is best to leave totals alone.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes ADT the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on ADT, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. ADT have home advantage at Estadio Union Tarma and face a Sporting Cristal side that has dropped their last two matches. The price of 2.25 offers a fair angle on the hosts getting back to winning ways.

Form and momentum

ADT come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Sporting Cristal come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for ADT, 27% for the draw and 33% for SCR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • ADT recently suffered four defeats in a row before their latest win which shows they are prone to long spells of poor form.
  • Sporting Cristal won three matches in a row just before their current slump and still carry the quality to bounce right back.
The bottom line

We back ADT for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsADT +125
ADT2.25draw3.30SCR2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ADTADT5 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in14
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL
SCRSporting Cristal5 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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