Betting tips › League Two › Accrington Stanley v Newport County
League TwoSat 19 Sept 14:00 UTCWham StadiumFinished
Accrington StanleyLWDLL
Newport CountyDLLDLBoth defenses struggle to keep clean sheets based on their recent matches. The price of 1.80 for over 2.5 goals offers fair value for a game featuring these two leaky sides.
Neither side has shown the defensive solidity needed to shut the other out over ninety minutes.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
The market makes Accrington Stanley the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Both defenses struggle to keep clean sheets based on their recent matches. The price of 1.80 for over 2.5 goals offers fair value for a game featuring these two leaky sides.
Accrington Stanley come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Newport County come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
The prices turn into 46% for ACC, 27% for the draw and 27% for NEW once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Accrington Stanley, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Accrington Stanley6 games on recordNewport County6 games on recordCounted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
The site model calls the draw here because both defenses leak goals lately. The price for over 2.5 goals looks fair on paper. The worry is Accrington only won one of their last five and their attack g...