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Betting tips › League Two ›  Accrington Stanley v Gillingham

 League TwoSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCWham Stadium

Accrington Stanley v Gillingham tips

ACCAccrington StanleyDDDLW
VS
GILGillinghamWLWWW
The model callGillinghamMatch result2.85★★★★2 stars

Gillingham arrive in solid form and look a good price to claim all three points at Accrington. The hosts have struggled for wins recently.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$57
Profit$37
Why it might land
  • Gillingham arrive with four wins from their last five matches which shows clear momentum compared to their opponents.
  • Accrington Stanley have only managed one victory in their last five outings while collecting three straight draws.
  • The bookmakers offer a very fair price of 2.85 for an away win given the stark contrast in recent results.
Why it might not
  • Accrington Stanley proved hard to beat recently by grinding out three consecutive draws before falling to a single defeat.
  • Gillingham did suffer a recent defeat in their last five outings which proves they are still capable of slipping up away.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Accrington draw plenty of matches while Gillingham score regularly, which points toward both teams finding the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough attacking intent in recent matches to suggest goals might flow at the Wham Stadium.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Accrington Stanley the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Gillingham, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Gillingham arrive in solid form and look a good price to claim all three points at Accrington. The hosts have struggled for wins recently.

Form and momentum

Accrington Stanley come in poor, winning 11% of 9 on record. 1 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 draws in a row.

Gillingham come in patchy, winning 44% of 9 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for ACC, 27% for the draw and 33% for GIL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.85, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Accrington Stanley proved hard to beat recently by grinding out three consecutive draws before falling to a single defeat.
  • Gillingham did suffer a recent defeat in their last five outings which proves they are still capable of slipping up away.
The bottom line

We back Gillingham for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsACC +135
ACC2.35draw3.40GIL2.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ACCAccrington Stanley9 games on record
Won1
Drawn5
Lost3
  • Scored12and let in15
  • At home1 winsfrom5
  • Right now3 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDLW
GILGillingham9 games on record
Won4
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored15and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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