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Betting tips › League Two ›  Accrington Stanley v Cheltenham Town

 League TwoSat 3 Oct 14:00 UTCWham Stadium

Accrington Stanley v Cheltenham Town tips

ACCAccrington StanleyDDLWD
VS
CHLCheltenham TownWDWDW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.71★★★★2 stars

We should see plenty of goalmouth action at the Wham Stadium this weekend. Cheltenham come in with strong momentum while Accrington keep drawing their matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
  • Cheltenham Town arrive at the Wham Stadium on a strong unbeaten run that includes three solid wins from their last five outings.
  • Accrington Stanley have been leaking goals during a patchy recent sequence that shows three draws and one loss from five fixtures.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 1.71 on the over 2.5 goals line for this League Two encounter.
Why it might not
  • Accrington Stanley managed a clean sheet in their recent win and could stubbornly shut down this fixture to frustrate the visitors.
  • Two of Accrington Stanley matches in their recent five game run ended in stalemate which points towards a tight scoreline.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams should find the net because Accrington keep conceding while Cheltenham arrive in fine scoring form.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Accrington Stanley the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We should see plenty of goalmouth action at the Wham Stadium this weekend. Cheltenham come in with strong momentum while Accrington keep drawing their matches.

Form and momentum

Accrington Stanley come in poor, winning 13% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Cheltenham Town come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for ACC, 27% for the draw and 32% for CHL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Accrington Stanley managed a clean sheet in their recent win and could stubbornly shut down this fixture to frustrate the visitors.
  • Two of Accrington Stanley matches in their recent five game run ended in stalemate which points towards a tight scoreline.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsACC +125
ACC2.25draw3.45CHL2.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ACCAccrington Stanley8 games on record
Won1
Drawn4
Lost3
  • Scored11and let in14
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDLWD
CHLCheltenham Town8 games on record
Won4
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored16and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Accrington v Cheltenham draw?

The site model calls this a draw with goals expected at the Wham Stadium because Cheltenham have momentum and Accrington keep drawing. On the other hand, Accrington kept a clean sheet last time out an...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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