Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Acassuso v Deportivo Madryn

 Primera NacionalSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCLa Quema

Acassuso v Deportivo Madryn tips

ACAAcassusoWWLLD
VS
DMADeportivo MadrynDWLWL
The model callDeportivo MadrynMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Deportivo Madryn looks the better option here at a decent price of 2.35 given their mixed form still includes a couple of recent wins.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Deportivo Madryn are priced at 2.35 to win which gives us a fair price for an away side with two recent wins in their last five matches.
  • Acassuso have lost two of their last five matches which shows they are vulnerable coming into this fixture at La Quema.
  • Deportivo Madryn managed to beat an opponent recently while Acassuso only managed a draw in their most recent outing on Saturday.
Why it might not
  • Deportivo Madryn also lost two of their last five games so they are hardly pulling up any trees on the road right now.
  • Acassuso did pick up two wins in their last five matches so they are capable of pulling a surprise result out of the bag.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown inconsistent form recently so picking goals either way is just a pure guess.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so it is best to stay well clear of guessing totals here.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportivo Madryn the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Deportivo Madryn, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Deportivo Madryn looks the better option here at a decent price of 2.35 given their mixed form still includes a couple of recent wins.

Form and momentum

Acassuso come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Deportivo Madryn come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for ACA, 31% for the draw and 39% for DMA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportivo Madryn also lost two of their last five games so they are hardly pulling up any trees on the road right now.
  • Acassuso did pick up two wins in their last five matches so they are capable of pulling a surprise result out of the bag.
The bottom line

We back Deportivo Madryn for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDMA +135
ACA3.00draw2.95DMA2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ACAAcassuso7 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in5
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLD
DMADeportivo Madryn7 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in4
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Acassuso v Deportivo Madryn

The site model fancies Deportivo Madryn at 2.35 because they have managed a couple of recent wins. That said, they also lost two of their last five so they are hardly pulling up any trees on the road ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW