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Betting tips › Liga FUTVE ›  Academia Puerto Cabello v Monagas SC

 Liga FUTVESun 18 Oct 18:00 UTCComplejo Deportivo Socialista

Academia Puerto Cabello v Monagas SC tips

APCAcademia Puerto CabelloWDLDD
VS
MSCMonagas SCDWWLW
The model callAcademia Puerto CabelloMatch result1.80★★★★1 star

Academia Puerto Cabello are at home and priced at 1.80 to win this match. They have too many draws lately though so this is a risky bet.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18
Profit$8
Why it might land
  • Academia Puerto Cabello are playing at the Complejo Deportivo Socialista where they have home advantage against visiting Monagas SC.
  • The bookmakers have priced Academia Puerto Cabello at 1.80 to win which makes them clear favourites for this fixture.
  • Monagas SC come into this match after losing one of their last five fixtures in the recent league results.
Why it might not
  • Academia Puerto Cabello have picked up three draws in their last five matches which shows they struggle to turn one point into three.
  • Monagas SC are in decent form with three wins and a draw from their last five recent outings in the league.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough mixed results recently to suggest goals at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We do not have a price for the goals line so it is hard to back either way with any real certainty.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Academia Puerto Cabello the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Academia Puerto Cabello, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Academia Puerto Cabello are at home and priced at 1.80 to win this match. They have too many draws lately though so this is a risky bet.

Form and momentum

Academia Puerto Cabello come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Monagas SC come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 50% for APC, 26% for the draw and 24% for MSC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Academia Puerto Cabello, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Academia Puerto Cabello have picked up three draws in their last five matches which shows they struggle to turn one point into three.
  • Monagas SC are in decent form with three wins and a draw from their last five recent outings in the league.
The bottom line

We back Academia Puerto Cabello for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsAPC -125
APC1.80draw3.45MSC3.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

APCAcademia Puerto Cabello7 games on record
Won2
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in6
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLDD
MSCMonagas SC7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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