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Betting tips › Scottish Premiership ›  Aberdeen v St Mirren

 Scottish PremiershipSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCPittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen v St Mirren tips

ABEAberdeenDWDLL
VS
STMSt MirrenLLLWD
The model callAberdeenMatch result1.83★★★★2 stars

Aberdeen return to Pittodrie to face St Mirren with the hosts holding a reasonable price at 1.83 despite a mixed recent sequence of results. St Mirren arrive struggling for consistency after picking up three losses and a draw from their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$36.6
Profit$16.6
Why it might land
  • Aberdeen play this fixture at Pittodrie Stadium where the hosts hold a solid 1.83 price to secure all three points against visitors who struggle.
  • St Mirren head north after enduring a miserable run of form that includes three defeats and one draw from their last five outings.
  • Aberdeen managed to take a win during their last five matches while their opponents suffered three losses across the exact same period.
Why it might not
  • Aberdeen show a shaky recent sequence in the league having recorded two draws and two losses alongside just a single victory.
  • St Mirren grabbed a recent win and a draw in their last two matches which suggests they might cause problems at Pittodrie.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Defensive struggles for both sides across their recent matches suggest both teams might find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have leaked goals recently which could push the total past the two point five mark.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Aberdeen the side to beat here at 51%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Aberdeen, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Aberdeen return to Pittodrie to face St Mirren with the hosts holding a reasonable price at 1.83 despite a mixed recent sequence of results. St Mirren arrive struggling for consistency after picking up three losses and a draw from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Aberdeen come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

St Mirren come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for ABE, 26% for the draw and 23% for STM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Aberdeen, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.83, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Aberdeen show a shaky recent sequence in the league having recorded two draws and two losses alongside just a single victory.
  • St Mirren grabbed a recent win and a draw in their last two matches which suggests they might cause problems at Pittodrie.
The bottom line

We back Aberdeen for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsABE -120
ABE1.83draw3.60STM4.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ABEAberdeen6 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored5and let in7
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLL
STMSt Mirren6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in9
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Aberdeen v St Mirren value?

Aberdeen are back at Pittodrie and priced at 183 despite some mixed form lately. St Mirren come here struggling with three defeats in five matches. On the other hand Aberdeen only have one win in thei...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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