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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  2 de Mayo v Libertad

 Primera DivisionFri 11 Sept 21:30 UTCEstadio Río ParapitíFinished

2 de Mayo v Libertad tips

MAY2 de MayoWDWD
0 : 2
LIBLibertadWLDW
The model callLibertadMatch result1.91★★★★2 starsWon

Libertad comes into this match as the clear favourite with prices at 1.91 despite mixed recent form. 2 de Mayo holds home advantage at Estadio Rio Parapiti but faces a tough task against a stronger side.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Libertad is priced at 1.91 to win this match which reflects their status as the stronger side in the market.
  • Libertad enters this fixture with a recent run of form that includes a win and a draw alongside a defeat.
  • The bookmakers clearly favour the visitors to collect all three points away from home in this Primera Division clash.
Why it might not
  • 2 de Mayo is difficult to beat at home and brings an unbeaten run of two wins and two draws into this fixture.
  • Libertad recently suffered a defeat which shows they are vulnerable and makes backing them at 1.91 a risk.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both teams have been scoring in their recent matches so expect goals at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.65Won

The under option is priced at 1.65 which suggests a tight match with fewer than three goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Libertad the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Libertad, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Libertad comes into this match as the clear favourite with prices at 1.91 despite mixed recent form. 2 de Mayo holds home advantage at Estadio Rio Parapiti but faces a tough task against a stronger side.

Form and momentum

2 de Mayo come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Libertad come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 25% for MAY, 28% for the draw and 47% for LIB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Libertad, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • 2 de Mayo is difficult to beat at home and brings an unbeaten run of two wins and two draws into this fixture.
  • Libertad recently suffered a defeat which shows they are vulnerable and makes backing them at 1.91 a risk.
The bottom line

We back Libertad for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsLIB -110
MAY3.65draw3.25LIB1.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

MAY2 de Mayo4 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost0
  • Scored5and let in3
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWD
LIBLibertad4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored6and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Libertad away at 2 de Mayo any good?

The site model fancies Libertad at 1.91 even with mixed recent form. 2 de Mayo is tough to beat at home and comes in with two wins and two draws. What are you all on for this one?

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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