Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Bundesliga ›  1. FC Union Berlin v SV Elversberg

 BundesligaSat 10 Oct 13:30 UTCStadion An der Alten Försterei

1. FC Union Berlin v SV Elversberg tips

FCU1. FC Union BerlinLLLDW
VS
ELVSV ElversbergDLWW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.56★★★★2 stars

We expect goals to flow freely at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei because the total goals line sits at an accessible price of 1.56 for over 2.5 goals. Union Berlin and SV Elversberg both show recent matches that suggest defensive frailties which should lead to an open fixture.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$31.2
Profit$11.2
Why it might land
  • The total goals market offers 1.56 on over 2.5 goals which gives us a solid entry point for a match expected to see plenty of attacking action.
  • Union Berlin enter this fixture carrying a difficult run of form that includes three recent losses and one draw alongside a single solitary win.
  • SV Elversberg arrive with mixed momentum after collecting one draw and one loss alongside two wins from their most recent four outings.
Why it might not
  • Union Berlin might tighten up defensively at home to halt their slide of three defeats in their last five matches.
  • SV Elversberg could adopt a cautious approach on the road despite being priced at 2.75 to take all three points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough inconsistency in their recent results to suggest neither keeps a clean sheet.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes 1. FC Union Berlin the side to beat here at 42%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals to flow freely at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei because the total goals line sits at an accessible price of 1.56 for over 2.5 goals. Union Berlin and SV Elversberg both show recent matches that suggest defensive frailties which should lead to an open fixture.

Form and momentum

1. FC Union Berlin come in poor, winning 26% of 38 on record. 5 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

SV Elversberg come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for FCU, 25% for the draw and 33% for ELV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.56, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Union Berlin might tighten up defensively at home to halt their slide of three defeats in their last five matches.
  • SV Elversberg could adopt a cautious approach on the road despite being priced at 2.75 to take all three points.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
FCU2.25draw3.70ELV3.00
SourceDraftKingsFCU +115
FCU2.15draw3.60ELV2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FCU1. FC Union Berlin38 games on record
Won10
Drawn10
Lost18
  • Scored48and let in75
  • At home5 winsfrom19
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLDW
ELVSV Elversberg4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in7
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Union Berlin v Elversberg?

The site model calls the draw here. It likes over 2.5 goals at 1.56 because both sides have looked shaky at the back lately. Union might shut up shop at home to stop their bad run of three losses in f...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW