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Betting tips › Bundesliga ›  1. FC Union Berlin v Schalke 04

 BundesligaFri 11 Sept 18:30 UTCStadion An der Alten FörstereiFinished

1. FC Union Berlin v Schalke 04 tips

FCU1. FC Union BerlinLDWWD
1 : 3
S04Schalke 04DL
The model call1. FC Union BerlinMatch result2.05★★★★2 starsLost

Union Berlin return to their famous home ground as favourites against Schalke. The hosts bring much better recent league form into this fixture.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Union Berlin play at home in front of noisy supporters.
  • The hosts picked up two wins and two draws recently.
  • Schalke have only managed one draw from their last two matches.
Why it might not
  • Schalke can always spring a surprise on a Friday night.
  • Union Berlin have also lost a match in recent weeks.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Schalke managed a draw in their latest outing and both sides will fancy their chances here.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.57Won

Union Berlin showed mixed form recently and prices suggest at least two goals in this match.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes 1. FC Union Berlin the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on 1. FC Union Berlin, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Union Berlin return to their famous home ground as favourites against Schalke. The hosts bring much better recent league form into this fixture.

Form and momentum

1. FC Union Berlin come in poor, winning 28% of 36 on record. 5 of their 18 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Schalke 04 come in poor, winning 0% of 2 on record. 0 of their 1 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for FCU, 27% for the draw and 32% for S04 once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Schalke can always spring a surprise on a Friday night.
  • Union Berlin have also lost a match in recent weeks.
The bottom line

We back 1. FC Union Berlin for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
FCU2.30draw3.50S043.00
SourceDraftKingsFCU +125
FCU2.25draw3.40S042.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FCU1. FC Union Berlin36 games on record
Won10
Drawn10
Lost16
  • Scored47and let in65
  • At home5 winsfrom18
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWD
S04Schalke 042 games on record
Won0
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored0and let in3
  • On the roadno winsfrom1
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Union Berlin v Schalke, who are you backing?

The site model likes Union Berlin at 2.25 as they have better form and home advantage. Schalke often play well on a Friday night though and could cause an upset. Does anyone see value in the visitors ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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