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Betting tips › 2. Bundesliga ›  1. FC Nürnberg v VfL Wolfsburg

 2. BundesligaSat 10 Oct 18:30 UTCMax-Morlock-Stadion

1. FC Nürnberg v VfL Wolfsburg tips

FCN1. FC NürnbergWWDWW
VS
WOBVfL WolfsburgWLDWW
The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.71★★★★1 star

This match looks tighter than the market prices suggest for a high scoring game. Both sides bring strong recent form into this clash at the Max Morlock Stadion.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$17.1
Profit$7.1
Why it might land
  • The total goals line sits at 3.5 with the under priced at 1.71 which gives decent value for a low scoring encounter.
  • First FC Nurnberg enter this fixture on a very strong run of form that includes four wins and a draw from their last five matches.
  • VfL Wolfsburg also show impressive recent consistency with four wins from their last five outings before travelling to Nuremberg.
Why it might not
  • Both teams enter the pitch with four wins from their previous five matches which makes predicting a low scoring game risky.
  • VfL Wolfsburg are slight favourites at 2.45 to win away from home which suggests the visitors might push the pace.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both clubs show excellent scoring form in their recent results heading into this weekend.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes VfL Wolfsburg the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. This match looks tighter than the market prices suggest for a high scoring game. Both sides bring strong recent form into this clash at the Max Morlock Stadion.

Form and momentum

1. FC Nürnberg come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

VfL Wolfsburg come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for FCN, 26% for the draw and 38% for WOB once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Both teams enter the pitch with four wins from their previous five matches which makes predicting a low scoring game risky.
  • VfL Wolfsburg are slight favourites at 2.45 to win away from home which suggests the visitors might push the pace.
The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsWOB +145
FCN2.50draw3.60WOB2.45

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

FCN1. FC Nürnberg6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored16and let in6
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWW
WOBVfL Wolfsburg40 games on record
Won10
Drawn10
Lost20
  • Scored60and let in77
  • On the road7 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Nurnberg or Wolfsburg today?

The site model calls this a draw because it looks tighter than the prices suggest for goals. Both teams come here with four wins from five so a low scoring game is a risky call. What are you lot backi...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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