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Football bettingUnderdogs dominate NFL week four betting results for sportsbooks
Sportsbooks enjoyed a profitable week as underdogs went eight four and two against the spread with several major upsets.
Written by the BettingEdgeHub desk, 6 October 2026
Week four provided a significant boost for bookmakers as underdogs across the league outperformed expectations. Bettors struggled to find winners on favorites, while five teams secured outright victories despite being expected to lose. This trend proved beneficial for the house, which typically relies on favorites to anchor large parlay tickets.
Patriots shock the Bills
New England quarterback Drake Maye led his team to a surprise victory against Buffalo. The Patriots covered the spread easily after a poor performance the previous week. This result disrupted many popular parlays that relied on the Bills to win at home.
Bookmakers celebrate the outcomes
Traders noted that the Buffalo loss was a primary driver of their success. Large wagers on favorites failed to materialize as winners, helping the bottom line for major operators. Even the Sunday night game saw an underdog cover and win, further padding the totals for sportsbooks.
Market shifts for futures
The results caused notable movement in the Super Bowl futures market. Teams like the Eagles and Texans saw their odds drift following disappointing performances. Books welcomed these results, especially the Dallas win over Houston, which went against the betting public.
Bettors find some success
Despite the heavy losses, some punters walked away with profit from specific player props. Popular wagers on Derrick Henry and Josh Allen to score touchdowns provided some relief for the betting community. Other wins for the public included the Rams comeback and the Bears victory.
Week four serves as a reminder that heavy favorites in parlays are high risk assets that often fail to deliver returns.