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Nashville back themselves to beat slow starting Toronto FC

Toronto FC look to end their habit of conceding early when they host Eastern Conference leaders Nashville SC at BMO Field.

Written by the BettingEdgeHub desk, 7 September 2026

Toronto FC enter this fixture on a six match unbeaten run, but their tendency to start slowly is hurting their playoff push. They salvaged a 4 to 4 draw against Chicago Fire last time out thanks to a late goal from Derrick Etienne. That result leaves them in 11th place, just one point behind Philadelphia Union in the final postseason spot.

Nashville hold the upper hand

Bookmakers have made the visitors clear favorites for this clash, with analysts giving Nashville a 46.2 percent chance of victory. Nashville are unbeaten in their last six league meetings against Toronto. During that run, they have outscored their Canadian opponents by eight goals to three.

Goalscorers to watch closely

Forward Josh Sargent is the in form player for the hosts after netting a hat trick in his last appearance. He has five goal involvements in his last four matches and will be crucial for Toronto. For the visitors, Hany Mukhtar remains a major threat despite failing to score in his last game.

Market outlook for bettors

Toronto have drawn four of their last six matches, which makes the draw look like a tempting option for value seekers. However, their defensive vulnerabilities mean Nashville are priced short to take all three points. Punters might find better value looking at the over goals markets given Toronto's recent high scoring encounters.