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Arsenal and Manchester City lead early Premier League betting markets

Opta model backs Arsenal and Manchester City to continue winning runs in matchday five.

Written by the BettingEdgeHub desk, 17 September 2026

Manchester City and Arsenal sit at the summit of the Premier League with maximum points from their opening four fixtures. Both clubs remain heavy favourites in the outright market as they prepare for the latest round of matches. Pundits and bettors alike expect the early frontrunners to maintain their momentum before the upcoming international break.

Brentford versus Chelsea

Chelsea travel to the Gtech Community Stadium on Friday night as slight favourites in the match market. Brentford have drawn three consecutive games and present a stubborn challenge for Enzo Maresca and his squad. Joao Pedro could prove vital for the visitors if he overcomes fitness concerns after withdrawing from international duty.

Mauricio Pochettino and his players know an away victory will shorten their odds for a top four finish. Bettors should note that both teams have a strong record of opening the scoring in their matches this season. A tight contest is anticipated by the predictive model with the draw holding a notable probability.

Tottenham versus Aston Villa

Tottenham host Aston Villa in a crucial early season clash between two winless clubs. Spurs have failed to score in their first four league games and sit near the bottom of the expected goals table. Aston Villa also enter the fixture searching for their first league victory of the campaign.

The betting market points toward a nervous encounter given both teams lack sharp attacking form. Tottenham are favoured in the simulations to take three points at home. A stalemate remains a very strong possibility according to the pre match data.

Leeds United and Hull City continue to surprise pundits by occupying Champions League spots. Both clubs are keen to extend their unbeaten runs and protect their current league positions. Bettors finding value in the outsider markets will watch these fixtures closely over the weekend.

Refereeing controversies have already impacted the early betting landscape this term. Mistaken decisions in recent fixtures show how small margins affect match results and outright odds. Bookmakers continue adjusting their prices as the true strength of each squad becomes clearer.

What it means for a bet

Backing Arsenal and Manchester City to win remains the soundest strategy for accumulators based on current form and underlying metrics.

18+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. This is a news page, not advice and not a tip. Nothing here is a promise about any result. Our calls live on the betting tips pages, with the reasons against them printed next to the reasons for them.
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