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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus

 J1 LeagueSat 31 Oct 06:00 UTCKobe Wing Stadium

Vissel Kobe v Nagoya Grampus tips

VISVissel KobeWWWWW
VS
NAGNagoya GrampusLLLLW
The model callVissel KobeMatch result1.91★★★★3 stars

Vissel Kobe come into this fixture at Kobe Wing Stadium riding a five match winning streak while Nagoya Grampus have lost four of their last five matches. The home side are priced at 1.91 which offers strong value given the glaring difference in recent form between these two clubs.

Stake3 units
That is$30
Returns$57.3
Profit$27.3
Why it might land
  • Vissel Kobe enter this fixture at Kobe Wing Stadium on Saturday afternoon having won five consecutive matches in the J1 League.
  • Nagoya Grampus arrive on the road having suffered four defeats across their last five fixtures in the league competition.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 1.91 on Vissel Kobe to win which is generous considering the absolute dominance in current results.
Why it might not
  • Nagoya Grampus did manage to win one of their last five matches so they retain a thread of unpredictable capability away from home.
  • Football matches in Japan often produce strange results where a struggling side suddenly turns up and upsets the form book.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams scoring is hard to back with conviction when Nagoya Grampus have struggled so badly for goals in their recent defeats.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no bookmaker line available for the total goals market so any lean towards over 2.5 goals is purely speculative.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vissel Kobe the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Vissel Kobe, and it backs that with a 3 units stake. Vissel Kobe come into this fixture at Kobe Wing Stadium riding a five match winning streak while Nagoya Grampus have lost four of their last five matches. The home side are priced at 1.91 which offers strong value given the glaring difference in recent form between these two clubs.

Form and momentum

Vissel Kobe come in strong, winning 75% of 8 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 5 wins in a row.

Nagoya Grampus come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for VIS, 26% for the draw and 25% for NAG once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Vissel Kobe, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Nagoya Grampus did manage to win one of their last five matches so they retain a thread of unpredictable capability away from home.
  • Football matches in Japan often produce strange results where a struggling side suddenly turns up and upsets the form book.
The bottom line

We back Vissel Kobe for 3 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVIS -110
VIS1.91draw3.60NAG3.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VISVissel Kobe8 games on record
Won6
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored12and let in5
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now5 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWW
NAGNagoya Grampus8 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost6
  • Scored7and let in14
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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