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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Vila Nova v Juventude

 Brazil Serie BFri 30 Oct 18:00 UTC

Vila Nova v Juventude tips

VILVila NovaWWDWL
VS
JUVJuventudeLLWDD
The model callVila NovaMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Vila Nova look the sharper side here given their recent run of wins and home advantage against struggling opponents. Juventude travel in poor form which makes the home price look fair.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Vila Nova come into this fixture having secured three wins from their last five matches which shows clear momentum.
  • Juventude have struggled badly on the road recently with back to back defeats marking their last two outings.
  • The available price of 2.35 on Vila Nova to win gives us a decent return for backing the team in better form.
Why it might not
  • Vila Nova did stumble in their most recent match with a defeat that proves they are far from unbeatable at home.
  • Juventude managed two draws in their last five games showing they can occasionally frustrate opponents and steal a point.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Juventude have failed to find any real consistency in front of goal during their latest fixtures.

Total goalsUnder 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown enough consistent scoring power recently to suggest a high scoring match is guaranteed.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vila Nova the side to beat here at 39%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Vila Nova, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Vila Nova look the sharper side here given their recent run of wins and home advantage against struggling opponents. Juventude travel in poor form which makes the home price look fair.

Form and momentum

Vila Nova come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 5 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Juventude come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for VIL, 33% for the draw and 28% for JUV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Vila Nova, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Vila Nova did stumble in their most recent match with a defeat that proves they are far from unbeatable at home.
  • Juventude managed two draws in their last five games showing they can occasionally frustrate opponents and steal a point.
The bottom line

We back Vila Nova for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVIL +135
VIL2.35draw2.80JUV3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VILVila Nova8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored14and let in6
  • At home5 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWL
JUVJuventude7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in7
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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