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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Vila Nova v Criciúma

 Brazil Serie BFri 6 Nov 23:30 UTCEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

Vila Nova v Criciúma tips

VILVila NovaWWDWL
VS
CRICriciúmaWLLLW
The model callVila NovaMatch result2.20★★★★2 stars

Vila Nova brings solid momentum into this home fixture against a struggling Criciúma side that has dropped three of their last five matches. The hosts look good value at two point two zero to get the job done.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$44
Profit$24
Why it might land
  • Vila Nova comes into this match with three wins and only one defeat from their previous five outings in the league.
  • Criciúma has struggled on the road recently by losing three of their last five fixtures across all competitions.
  • Bookmakers offer a very fair price of two point two zero for Vila Nova to secure all three points at home.
Why it might not
  • Vila Nova did suffer a defeat in their most recent league outing which shows they are certainly not invincible.
  • Criciúma managed to grab a victory in their latest game and might bring some renewed confidence to this pitch.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both squads have shown enough inconsistency in defence recently to suggest both might find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no pricing on the goals line so staying away from totals is the smart play here.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vila Nova the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Vila Nova, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Vila Nova brings solid momentum into this home fixture against a struggling Criciúma side that has dropped three of their last five matches. The hosts look good value at two point two zero to get the job done.

Form and momentum

Vila Nova come in strong, winning 63% of 8 on record. 5 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Criciúma come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for VIL, 29% for the draw and 28% for CRI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Vila Nova, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.20, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Vila Nova did suffer a defeat in their most recent league outing which shows they are certainly not invincible.
  • Criciúma managed to grab a victory in their latest game and might bring some renewed confidence to this pitch.
The bottom line

We back Vila Nova for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVIL +120
VIL2.20draw3.15CRI3.25

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

VILVila Nova8 games on record
Won5
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored14and let in6
  • At home5 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWL
CRICriciúma8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in13
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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