Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Bundesliga ›  SV Elversberg v Mainz

 BundesligaFri 30 Oct 19:30 UTCURSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

SV Elversberg v Mainz tips

ELVSV ElversbergDLWW
VS
M05MainzWLWDW
The model callMainzMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Mainz arrives with a strong recent run of form that makes them hard to oppose on the road. SV Elversberg shows mixed results lately and faces a tough task against top flight opposition.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Mainz comes into this fixture holding three wins from their last five matches across all recent outings.
  • The away side is priced at 2.05 which offers a solid value return for backing the team with superior recent form.
  • SV Elversberg has only managed one victory alongside a draw and two defeats in their most recent four results.
Why it might not
  • SV Elversberg plays this match at home on their own ground where they might raise their game to cause an upset.
  • Mainz suffered a recent defeat in their last five matches which proves they can still be vulnerable on their travels.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough scoring capability in their recent matches to suggest they could both find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack specific pricing for the total goals line of 3.5 so any goals prediction remains entirely speculative.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Mainz the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Mainz, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Mainz arrives with a strong recent run of form that makes them hard to oppose on the road. SV Elversberg shows mixed results lately and faces a tough task against top flight opposition.

Form and momentum

SV Elversberg come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Mainz come in patchy, winning 32% of 38 on record. 8 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 30% for ELV, 25% for the draw and 45% for M05 once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Mainz, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • SV Elversberg plays this match at home on their own ground where they might raise their game to cause an upset.
  • Mainz suffered a recent defeat in their last five matches which proves they can still be vulnerable on their travels.
The bottom line

We back Mainz for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
ELV3.20draw3.75M052.05
SourceDraftKingsM05 +105
ELV3.05draw3.70M052.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

ELVSV Elversberg4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWW
M05Mainz38 games on record
Won12
Drawn11
Lost15
  • Scored54and let in59
  • On the road8 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW