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Betting tips › Scottish Premiership ›  St Mirren v Hibernian

 Scottish PremiershipWed 28 Oct 19:45 UTCThe SMISA Stadium

St Mirren v Hibernian tips

STMSt MirrenLLLWD
VS
HIBSHibernianDLLLW
The model callHibernianMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Hibernian travel to Paisley with a slightly better recent win in their bag than their hosts. St Mirren are struggling badly after three straight losses on the bounce.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$41
Profit$21
Why it might land
  • Hibernian arrive at The SMISA Stadium after securing a victory in their most recent league outing to lift some of the gloom.
  • St Mirren find themselves in a terrible downward spiral after suffering three consecutive defeats in their last three matches.
  • The bookmakers offer a very fair price of 2.05 for Hibernian to win this fixture given the current league form.
Why it might not
  • Hibernian carry a poor run of three losses right before their latest win which proves they can be very fragile on the road.
  • St Mirren did manage to pick up a draw two matches ago which shows they can frustrate opponents when they dig in deeply.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Defences on both sides look shaky enough to let the opposition through during ninety minutes.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have been shipping goals freely in recent weeks so a couple might fly in.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Hibernian the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Hibernian, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Hibernian travel to Paisley with a slightly better recent win in their bag than their hosts. St Mirren are struggling badly after three straight losses on the bounce.

Form and momentum

St Mirren come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Hibernian come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 28% for STM, 26% for the draw and 46% for HIBS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Hibernian, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Hibernian carry a poor run of three losses right before their latest win which proves they can be very fragile on the road.
  • St Mirren did manage to pick up a draw two matches ago which shows they can frustrate opponents when they dig in deeply.
The bottom line

We back Hibernian for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
STM3.20draw3.50HIBS2.01
SourceDraftKingsHIBS +105
STM3.35draw3.60HIBS2.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

STMSt Mirren6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in9
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWD
HIBSHibernian6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in9
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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