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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Shimizu S-Pulse v Tokyo Verdy 1969

 J1 LeagueSat 7 Nov 04:00 UTCIAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse v Tokyo Verdy 1969 tips

SHIShimizu S-PulseWWLDL
VS
TYKVTokyo Verdy 1969LDDLL
The model callShimizu S-PulseMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

Shimizu S Pulse look the better value at home against a struggling Tokyo Verdy side. The hosts have picked up two wins recently while the visitors are on a losing run.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Shimizu S Pulse have managed to win two of their last five matches in a sign of some useful form coming into this fixture.
  • Tokyo Verdy 1969 arrive here after losing three of their last five matches which shows clear defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Shimizu S Pulse are priced at 2.25 to win which offers a decent return given the contrasting recent results of both clubs.
Why it might not
  • Shimizu S Pulse have also suffered two defeats in their last five outings including a recent loss that brings some inconsistency.
  • Tokyo Verdy 1969 managed to draw two of their recent matches and could prove stubborn opponents on the day.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have enough mixed results behind them to suggest they might cancel each other out defensively.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a completely solid defence across their recent matches so goals could happen.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Shimizu S-Pulse the side to beat here at 41%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Shimizu S-Pulse, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Shimizu S Pulse look the better value at home against a struggling Tokyo Verdy side. The hosts have picked up two wins recently while the visitors are on a losing run.

Form and momentum

Shimizu S-Pulse come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Tokyo Verdy 1969 come in poor, winning 0% of 8 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for SHI, 30% for the draw and 29% for TYKV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Shimizu S-Pulse, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Shimizu S Pulse have also suffered two defeats in their last five outings including a recent loss that brings some inconsistency.
  • Tokyo Verdy 1969 managed to draw two of their recent matches and could prove stubborn opponents on the day.
The bottom line

We back Shimizu S-Pulse for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSHI +125
SHI2.25draw3.15TYKV3.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SHIShimizu S-Pulse8 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDL
TYKVTokyo Verdy 19698 games on record
Won0
Drawn4
Lost4
  • Scored4and let in12
  • On the roadno winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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