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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Santos v Palmeiras

 BrasileiraoWed 28 Oct 18:00 UTCEstádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)

Santos v Palmeiras tips

SANSantosWWWWD
VS
PALPalmeirasWDWDD
The model callPalmeirasMatch result2.55★★★★1 star

Palmeiras travel to Vila Belmiro with steady away form despite recent draws. Santos enter this fixture on a strong winning run.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25.5
Profit$15.5
Why it might land
  • Palmeiras come into this match following a solid recent sequence that includes three draws and two wins in their last five fixtures.
  • The away side are priced at 2.55 to win this match which offers a fair price for a team of their quality on the road.
  • Santos must face a resilient opponent whose defensive solidity has resulted in multiple draws against tough domestic competition lately.
Why it might not
  • Santos are enjoying an impressive run of form with four wins and one draw from their last five matches.
  • Playing at the Estádio Vila Belmiro gives Santos a major boost after putting together a four match winning streak on home turf.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Santos scoring freely in recent games makes it likely both teams find the back of the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown plenty of defensive resilience in their recent matches leading to tight affairs.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Palmeiras the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Palmeiras, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Palmeiras travel to Vila Belmiro with steady away form despite recent draws. Santos enter this fixture on a strong winning run.

Form and momentum

Santos come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 4 wins in a row.

Palmeiras come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for SAN, 29% for the draw and 36% for PAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.55, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Santos are enjoying an impressive run of form with four wins and one draw from their last five matches.
  • Playing at the Estádio Vila Belmiro gives Santos a major boost after putting together a four match winning streak on home turf.
The bottom line

We back Palmeiras for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPAL +155
SAN2.65draw3.20PAL2.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SANSantos7 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored12and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now4 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWWD
PALPalmeiras8 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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