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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  São Paulo v Corinthians

 BrasileiraoThu 5 Nov 00:30 UTCEstádio Vila Belmiro (Urbano Caldeira)

São Paulo v Corinthians tips

SAOSão PauloWLWWL
VS
CORCorinthiansLLLLL
The model callSão PauloMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Sao Paulo enter this fixture holding the stronger recent form while Corinthians arrive on a desperate five match losing streak. The hosts are priced at 2.15 to take all three points at Estano Vila Belmiro.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Sao Paulo come into this match having put together three victories from their last five outings in the league.
  • Corinthians are enduring a miserable run of form that shows five straight defeats across their most recent fixtures.
  • The bookmakers offer a reasonable price of 2.15 for Sao Paulo to convert their superior momentum into a home win.
Why it might not
  • Sao Paulo have also suffered two defeats in their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable on any given day.
  • Corinthians are desperate to stop their losing slide and local rivalry matches often throw out unpredictable results regardless of league position.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities in their recent results which suggests goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack specific goal statistics for this line so leaning over is just a guess based on derby chaos.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes São Paulo the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on São Paulo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Sao Paulo enter this fixture holding the stronger recent form while Corinthians arrive on a desperate five match losing streak. The hosts are priced at 2.15 to take all three points at Estano Vila Belmiro.

Form and momentum

São Paulo come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Corinthians come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 6 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for SAO, 30% for the draw and 27% for COR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward São Paulo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sao Paulo have also suffered two defeats in their last five matches which shows they can be vulnerable on any given day.
  • Corinthians are desperate to stop their losing slide and local rivalry matches often throw out unpredictable results regardless of league position.
The bottom line

We back São Paulo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsSAO +115
SAO2.15draw3.10COR3.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

SAOSão Paulo7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in7
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL
CORCorinthians7 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost6
  • Scored7and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now6 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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