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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Rubio Ñú v Guaraní

 Primera DivisionThu 29 Oct 18:00 UTC

Rubio Ñú v Guaraní tips

CRNRubio ÑúDLLLW
VS
GUAGuaraníWWDWD
The model callGuaraníMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Guaraní arrive with strong momentum and look well placed to take all three points against a struggling Rubio Ñú side. The visitors are available at a fair price of 2.35 considering the contrasting recent form of both clubs.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Guaraní enter this fixture on an impressive unbeaten run that includes three wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Rubio Ñú are struggling badly for consistency after picking up three losses and just one win in their recent five outings.
  • The market offers a generous price of 2.35 on Guaraní to win given the stark differences in current league form.
Why it might not
  • Guaraní have been held to draws in two of their recent five matches which shows they can sometimes fail to kill off games.
  • Rubio Ñú managed to win one of their recent matches and have home advantage here which could spark an unexpected reaction.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams tend to trade goals in this fixture despite the visitors having the better overall form.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices or lines for totals so it is purely a guess based on general league trends.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Guaraní the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Guaraní, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Guaraní arrive with strong momentum and look well placed to take all three points against a struggling Rubio Ñú side. The visitors are available at a fair price of 2.35 considering the contrasting recent form of both clubs.

Form and momentum

Rubio Ñú come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Guaraní come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for CRN, 30% for the draw and 39% for GUA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Guaraní have been held to draws in two of their recent five matches which shows they can sometimes fail to kill off games.
  • Rubio Ñú managed to win one of their recent matches and have home advantage here which could spark an unexpected reaction.
The bottom line

We back Guaraní for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsGUA +135
CRN3.00draw3.10GUA2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CRNRubio Ñú7 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored8and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLLW
GUAGuaraní7 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost0
  • Scored7and let in3
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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