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Betting tips › Liga MX ›  Puebla v Pumas UNAM

 Liga MXSat 31 Oct 03:00 UTCEstadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla v Pumas UNAM tips

PUEPueblaLDLWL
VS
UNAMPumas UNAMLDLWL
The model callPumas UNAMMatch result2.35★★★★1 star

Pumas face Puebla away with identical recent form lines offering little separation between the sides. The visitors hold a slight edge in the betting market at two point three five.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$23.5
Profit$13.5
Why it might land
  • Pumas UNAM visit Estadio Cuauhtemoc with a price of two point three five to secure all three points against their hosts.
  • Both teams enter this fixture carrying an identical recent run of form showing one win one draw and three defeats in their last five matches.
  • The market installs Pumas UNAM as clear favorites to win this contest based on the current odds available for the away victory.
Why it might not
  • Puebla play at home where they will try to use the advantage of Estadio Cuauhtemoc despite their recent loss in the last five games.
  • Pumas UNAM share the exact same poor run of five recent results as Puebla with three losses and only one solitary victory.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given the recent struggles of both attacks it is hard to back both teams to find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show inconsistent scoring form in their recent matches which points toward a low scoring game.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Pumas UNAM the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Pumas UNAM, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Pumas face Puebla away with identical recent form lines offering little separation between the sides. The visitors hold a slight edge in the betting market at two point three five.

Form and momentum

Puebla come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Pumas UNAM come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for PUE, 28% for the draw and 40% for UNAM once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Puebla play at home where they will try to use the advantage of Estadio Cuauhtemoc despite their recent loss in the last five games.
  • Pumas UNAM share the exact same poor run of five recent results as Puebla with three losses and only one solitary victory.
The bottom line

We back Pumas UNAM for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsUNAM +135
PUE2.90draw3.40UNAM2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PUEPuebla7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in9
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWL
UNAMPumas UNAM7 games on record
Won1
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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