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Betting tips › NHL ›  Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins

 NHLWed 4 Nov 00:00 UTCPPG Paints Arena

Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins tips

VGKVegas Golden KnightsLLWWW
VS
PITPittsburgh PenguinsWLLW
The model callVegas Golden KnightsMatch result1.89★★★★2 stars

Vegas arrives with three wins from their last four outings while Pittsburgh struggles to find any consistency after alternating wins and losses recently. The price of 1.89 on the visiting Golden Knights looks fair given the contrasting momentum between these two sides.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.8
Profit$17.8
Why it might land
  • Vegas enters this matchup holding three victories from their four most recent fixtures in a strong display of consistent form.
  • Pittsburgh comes into this game having dropped two of their last four matches in a shaky run of recent results.
  • The away side trades at an appealing price of 1.89 on the moneyline considering their superior momentum over the hosts.
Why it might not
  • Vegas did suffer a defeat in their most recent outing which shows they are certainly capable of stumbling on the road.
  • Pittsburgh managed to win their latest fixture and playing on home ice at PPG Paints Arena always gives them a fighting chance.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total goalsUnder 6.5 goalsPrice 2.05

The price of 2.05 on the under offers a decent return if both teams tighten up defensively.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Pittsburgh Penguins the side to beat here at 51%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Vegas Golden Knights, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Vegas arrives with three wins from their last four outings while Pittsburgh struggles to find any consistency after alternating wins and losses recently. The price of 1.89 on the visiting Golden Knights looks fair given the contrasting momentum between these two sides.

Form and momentum

Pittsburgh Penguins come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Vegas Golden Knights come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 51% for PIT and 49% for VGK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.89, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Vegas did suffer a defeat in their most recent outing which shows they are certainly capable of stumbling on the road.
  • Pittsburgh managed to win their latest fixture and playing on home ice at PPG Paints Arena always gives them a fighting chance.
The bottom line

We back Vegas Golden Knights for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsPIT -115
PIT1.87VGK1.95over 6.51.83under 6.52.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

PITPittsburgh Penguins4 games on record
Won2
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in13
  • At home1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLW
VGKVegas Golden Knights5 games on record
Won3
Lost2
  • Scored15and let in14
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotBookmakers

Pens or Knights tonight?

The site model goes with Vegas at 1.89 because they have won three of their last four while Pittsburgh keeps alternating results. Then again, Vegas lost their most recent match so they can stumble on ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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