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Betting tips › League One ›  Oxford United v Reading

 League OneWed 4 Nov 19:45 UTCThe Kassam Stadium

Oxford United v Reading tips

OXFOxford UnitedDDWWL
VS
REAReadingLDWLL
The model callReadingMatch result2.40★★★★1 star

Reading are slight favourites at two point four to beat Oxford United under the lights. Both sides bring patchy runs into this fixture so it is a tough one to call.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24
Profit$14
Why it might land
  • Reading are priced as favourites at two point four to take all three points on the road at the Kassam Stadium.
  • Oxford United have been drawing and losing as much as winning after picking up two draws and two wins and a loss recently.
  • Reading managed to pick up a win in their last five matches despite losing three times and drawing once in that same run.
Why it might not
  • Reading arrive with poor momentum after suffering three defeats across their last five matches including two recent losses.
  • Oxford United have proven difficult to beat at times recently by avoiding defeat in three of their last five outings with two draws and two wins.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams concede regularly based on their recent mixed results so goals at both ends look quite likely.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Prices and odds for the goals line are not available so this is just a guess based on usual League One matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Reading the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Reading, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Reading are slight favourites at two point four to beat Oxford United under the lights. Both sides bring patchy runs into this fixture so it is a tough one to call.

Form and momentum

Oxford United come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

Reading come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for OXF, 26% for the draw and 39% for REA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Reading arrive with poor momentum after suffering three defeats across their last five matches including two recent losses.
  • Oxford United have proven difficult to beat at times recently by avoiding defeat in three of their last five outings with two draws and two wins.
The bottom line

We back Reading for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsREA +140
OXF2.65draw3.60REA2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

OXFOxford United40 games on record
Won12
Drawn14
Lost14
  • Scored46and let in50
  • At home7 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 draws in a row
Last fiveDDWWL
REAReading40 games on record
Won17
Drawn11
Lost12
  • Scored68and let in50
  • On the road7 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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