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Betting tips › League Two ›  Northampton Town v Oldham Athletic

 League TwoTue 3 Nov 19:45 UTCSixfields Stadium

Northampton Town v Oldham Athletic tips

NHTNorthampton TownLLLWD
VS
OLDOldham AthleticWLLLL
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.71★★★★2 stars

Both teams are struggling badly for wins right now which makes this game hard to call. Under 2.5 goals looks safer at 1.71 because neither side shows any reliable scoring touch in their recent results.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
  • Northampton Town come into this fixture on a terrible run that features three straight defeats and only one draw in their last four matches.
  • Oldham Athletic have lost four of their last five matches and managed just a single victory while failing to find any consistent attacking threat.
  • The bookmakers offer 1.71 for under 2.5 total goals which gives us a solid price on a low scoring battle between two out of form sides.
Why it might not
  • Northampton Town are priced at 2.70 to win at home which tempts backers who think Oldham Athletic look even worse on current form.
  • Oldham Athletic are available at 2.60 to take the points away from home despite losing four of their last five league outings.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams struggle so much in attack that a clean sheet either way is quite possible.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Oldham Athletic the side to beat here at 36%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Both teams are struggling badly for wins right now which makes this game hard to call. Under 2.5 goals looks safer at 1.71 because neither side shows any reliable scoring touch in their recent results.

Form and momentum

Northampton Town come in poor, winning 15% of 40 on record. 4 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Oldham Athletic come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for NHT, 30% for the draw and 36% for OLD once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Northampton Town are priced at 2.70 to win at home which tempts backers who think Oldham Athletic look even worse on current form.
  • Oldham Athletic are available at 2.60 to take the points away from home despite losing four of their last five league outings.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsOLD +160
NHT2.70draw3.10OLD2.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NHTNorthampton Town40 games on record
Won6
Drawn10
Lost24
  • Scored31and let in60
  • At home4 winsfrom19
  • Right now3 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLWD
OLDOldham Athletic9 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored13and let in15
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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