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Betting tips › League Two ›  Newport County v Chesterfield

 League TwoFri 30 Oct 19:45 UTCRodney Parade

Newport County v Chesterfield tips

NEWNewport CountyDWDDL
VS
CHESChesterfieldLWWDD
The model callChesterfieldMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

Chesterfield arrive in better shape than Newport County and look well priced at two to one to grab the points. Newport are struggling to turn draws into wins after picking up three stalemates in their last five outings.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Chesterfield are priced at two to one for the win which gives us a very fair price on the visitors.
  • Chesterfield bring stronger recent form into this fixture after managing two wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Newport County have found it hard to win games recently because they have drawn three of their last five fixtures.
Why it might not
  • Chesterfield suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which shows they can stumble on the road.
  • Newport County are hard to beat at home despite their recent loss because they tend to pick up draws.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have been scoring fairly regularly in recent weeks so goals look likely at Rodney Parade.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal line so it is best to avoid betting on totals here.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Chesterfield the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Chesterfield, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Chesterfield arrive in better shape than Newport County and look well priced at two to one to grab the points. Newport are struggling to turn draws into wins after picking up three stalemates in their last five outings.

Form and momentum

Newport County come in poor, winning 22% of 9 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Chesterfield come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for NEW, 27% for the draw and 47% for CHES once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Chesterfield, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Chesterfield suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which shows they can stumble on the road.
  • Newport County are hard to beat at home despite their recent loss because they tend to pick up draws.
The bottom line

We back Chesterfield for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCHES +100
NEW3.50draw3.50CHES2.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NEWNewport County9 games on record
Won2
Drawn4
Lost3
  • Scored14and let in14
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDDL
CHESChesterfield8 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored11and let in10
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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