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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Nagoya Grampus v Kyoto Sanga

 J1 LeagueSat 7 Nov 05:00 UTCToyota Stadium (Japan)

Nagoya Grampus v Kyoto Sanga tips

NAGNagoya GrampusLLLLW
VS
KYOKyoto SangaWLLDW
The model callNagoya GrampusMatch result1.87★★★★1 star

Nagoya Grampus are priced at 1.87 to win at home despite losing four of their last five matches. Kyoto Sanga arrive with mixed form including two wins and two losses in their recent outings.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18.7
Profit$8.7
Why it might land
  • Nagoya Grampus are playing at Toyota Stadium where they get home advantage for this fixture.
  • The market prices Nagoya Grampus as clear favourites to win this match at 1.87 odds.
  • Kyoto Sanga have suffered two defeats across their last five matches in the league.
Why it might not
  • Nagoya Grampus enter this fixture on a terrible run of four defeats from their last five games.
  • Kyoto Sanga recently managed an away victory and a draw which shows they can pick up points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown mixed defensive form lately which could lead to goals at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Bookmakers have not priced the over or under line for 2.5 goals in this fixture.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Nagoya Grampus the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Nagoya Grampus, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Nagoya Grampus are priced at 1.87 to win at home despite losing four of their last five matches. Kyoto Sanga arrive with mixed form including two wins and two losses in their recent outings.

Form and momentum

Nagoya Grampus come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

Kyoto Sanga come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 50% for NAG, 25% for the draw and 25% for KYO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Nagoya Grampus, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Nagoya Grampus enter this fixture on a terrible run of four defeats from their last five games.
  • Kyoto Sanga recently managed an away victory and a draw which shows they can pick up points.
The bottom line

We back Nagoya Grampus for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNAG -115
NAG1.87draw3.75KYO3.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NAGNagoya Grampus8 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost6
  • Scored7and let in14
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLW
KYOKyoto Sanga8 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored11and let in15
  • On the road1 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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