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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Nacional Asunción v Sportivo Trinidense

 Primera DivisionThu 29 Oct 18:00 UTC

Nacional Asunción v Sportivo Trinidense tips

NACNacional AsunciónDWWLW
VS
CSTSportivo TrinidenseWLWLW
The model callNacional AsunciónMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Nacional Asuncion bring decent home momentum into this match against a patchy Sportivo Trinidense side. The price of 2.15 on a home win looks fair enough given recent results.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Nacional Asuncion enter this fixture with three wins from their last five matches showing strong overall form.
  • The available price of 2.15 for Nacional Asuncion to win offers decent value on home soil.
  • Sportivo Trinidense have traded wins and losses across their last five matches making them hard to trust.
Why it might not
  • Nacional Asuncion did suffer a defeat recently within their last five matches which brings some doubt.
  • Sportivo Trinidense managed to win their most recent outing which shows they remain a threat here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have been trading wins and losses with regularity lately.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither team shows a high scoring run in their recent results.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Nacional Asunción the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Nacional Asunción, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Nacional Asuncion bring decent home momentum into this match against a patchy Sportivo Trinidense side. The price of 2.15 on a home win looks fair enough given recent results.

Form and momentum

Nacional Asunción come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Sportivo Trinidense come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for NAC, 29% for the draw and 28% for CST once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Nacional Asunción, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Nacional Asuncion did suffer a defeat recently within their last five matches which brings some doubt.
  • Sportivo Trinidense managed to win their most recent outing which shows they remain a threat here.
The bottom line

We back Nacional Asunción for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNAC +115
NAC2.15draw3.20CST3.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NACNacional Asunción7 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in2
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLW
CSTSportivo Trinidense7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in6
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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