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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Náutico v Avaí

 Brazil Serie BFri 30 Oct 18:00 UTC

Náutico v Avaí tips

NAUNáuticoWLDLW
VS
AVAAvaíLLDLL
The model callNáuticoMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

Nautico catchable at home against an Avai side struggling badly for results. The price of two point zero zero offers enough value to back the hosts.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Nautico return home after picking up two wins from their last five matches to try and build some much needed momentum in the league table.
  • Avai arrive in dreadful form after suffering four defeats across their last five matches without managing to string any consistent results together.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of two point zero zero for a home win considering the clear gap in current form between the two sides.
Why it might not
  • Nautico show inconsistency by mixing their two recent wins with three other matches where they lost twice and drew once.
  • Avai might fight hard for a draw despite their four recent defeats because desperate teams often find a way to stay compact away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Avai struggle so much to score goals lately that one side might fail to find the net during the ninety minutes.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams show fragile attacking form recently which could lead to a low scoring match below two point five goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Náutico the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Náutico, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Nautico catchable at home against an Avai side struggling badly for results. The price of two point zero zero offers enough value to back the hosts.

Form and momentum

Náutico come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 4 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Avaí come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for NAU, 28% for the draw and 26% for AVA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Náutico, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Nautico show inconsistency by mixing their two recent wins with three other matches where they lost twice and drew once.
  • Avai might fight hard for a draw despite their four recent defeats because desperate teams often find a way to stay compact away from home.
The bottom line

We back Náutico for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNAU +100
NAU2.00draw3.25AVA3.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

NAUNáutico8 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in11
  • At home4 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLW
AVAAvaí8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored7and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom5
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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